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Aya Shawn
Living in Singapore, professional investorDec 29
As a Chinese learner
I quote an ancient Chinese proverb: Tall buildings rise from the ground.
To quote another ancient Roman proverb: Rome was not built in a day
"Industrialization" is a very broad term.

作为一名汉语学习者
我引用一句中国古话:万丈高楼从地起。
引用另一句古罗马谚语:罗马不是一天建成的
“工业化”是一个非常广泛的术语。

“Industrialization” in South Asia
What Vietnam or some emerging countries are doing is not real "industrialization". What they are doing is just a branch of industrialization: manufacturing.
Foreign capital enters to build factories; foreign materials, technology, parts, and domestic cheap labor are used to manufacture products.
China also went through this stage when it began its reform and opening up in the 1980s. Global capital is pouring into China, and countless products are manufactured in China and sold to other countries.

越南或一些新兴国家所做的并不是真正的“工业化”。他们所做的只是工业化的一个分支:加工制造业。
这意味着外资进入,建厂,使用外国材料、技术、零部件以及国内廉价劳动力来制造产品。
中国在20世纪80年代改革开放时也经历过这个阶段。全球资本涌入中国,无数产品在中国制造并销往其他国家。

Real “industrialization”: Sinopec plants in 1980 of China
This seems to be the same process that Vietnam is going through today. Therefore, some people believe that Vietnam will also follow this path, and then gradually upgrade, rise, and successfully complete industrialization.
However, they sextively ignored a key issue, the huge difference in fundamentals between China in the 1980s and Vietnam now.
In the 1980s, China had actually completed industrialization. At that time, China had a complete heavy industry foundation and system. Steel, rubber, petrochemicals, machinery manufacturing, electronic parts and instruments could all be manufactured independently. At that time, China was actually a smaller country. version of the Soviet unx. These were all completed during the socialist period, and all they lacked was the more advanced technology and consumer industries of Western countries.

这似乎与今天的越南正在经历的过程相同。因此,有人认为,越南也会走这条路,然后逐步升级、崛起,顺利完成工业化。
然而,他们选择性地忽略了一个关键问题,即20世纪80年代的中国与现在的越南之间的巨大基本面差异。
20世纪80年代,中国实际上已经完成了工业化。当时的中国已经有了完整的重工业基础和体系。钢铁、橡胶、石化、机械制造、电子零部件、仪器仪表等均可自主生产。
那时的中国实际上是一个苏联的缩小版。这些成就都是在社会主义时期完成的,他们缺少的只是西方国家更先进的技术和消费工业。

If you imagine China as a basketball player, he had already done physical training for many years, and what he lacked was just basketball skill training.
But Vietnam does not have such a foundation. To be precise, before the large influx of foreign investment into Vietnam, Vietnam was a purely agricultural country. If Vietnam can be compared to a basketball player, then he was selling newspapers yesterday and starts participating in skills training today.
Without a solid foundation, the building's height will be limited. Vietnam's manufacturing industry will soon face a ceiling, and some South Asian countries will also face this problem.
Real industrialization is not easy to accomplish.

如果你把中国想象成一名篮球运动员,他已经进行了很多年的体能训练,缺乏的只是篮球技术训练。
但越南没有这样的基础。准确地说,在外资大量涌入越南之前,越南是一个纯粹的农业国家。
如果把越南比作一名篮球运动员,那么他昨天还在卖报纸,今天就突然开始参加技能训练。
没有坚实的地基,建筑物的高度就会受到限制。越南制造业很快将面临天花板,一些南亚国家也将面临这个问题。
真正的工业化并不容易实现。