India can overtake Japan to become world’s third-largest economy by 2050

到2050年,印度将超过日本成为全球第三大经济体


The Indian economy may climb from fifth to third spot in the list of the world’s largest economies over the next three decades, according to a recent study published in the medical journal Lancet.
The research, conducted earlier this year, is based on changes to the size of the working-age population in the world’s largest countries, which is then translated into scenarios for total gross domestic product (GDP). According to Lancet projections, India will have the largest working-age population prior to 2030, which will continue growing to reach peak levels before 2050. Despite a projected decline later on, India will still have more working-age adults than any country in the world by the end of the century.

医学杂志《柳叶刀》(Lancet)最近发表的一项研究显示,未来30年,印度经济在全球最大经济体中的排名可能会从第五位升至第三位。
今年早些时候进行的这项研究基于世界上最大的几个国家的工作年龄人口规模的变化,然后将其转化为国内生产总值(GDP)的情景。根据《柳叶刀》杂志的预测,2030年前,印度将拥有最大的工作年龄人口,并将继续增长,在2050年前达到峰值水平。尽管未来预计将出现下降,但到本世纪末,印度适龄工作人口仍将超过世界上任何国家。